{"id":734,"date":"2023-01-08T14:43:04","date_gmt":"2023-01-08T13:43:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/maisontabga.com\/thierrylecomte\/?p=734"},"modified":"2023-01-23T15:12:59","modified_gmt":"2023-01-23T14:12:59","slug":"sep-probabilite","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/maisontabga.com\/thierrylecomte\/2023\/01\/08\/sep-probabilite\/","title":{"rendered":"SEP \u00e0 l&rsquo;INSEE"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Statistiquement, combien de chance d&rsquo;\u00eatre atteint d&rsquo;une SEP ? Disons une sur mille. Combien de chance d&rsquo;\u00eatre atteint d&rsquo;une SE3P, la <em>gold<\/em>, Primaire Progressive, la toute mienne : \u00e0 peu pr\u00e8s une sur quatre mille. En gros.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Consid\u00e9rons maintenant que seuls les vivants sont malades. Statistiquement toujours, combien de chance de na\u00eetre ? R\u00e9ponse : encore moins que de gagner au loto, qui est nulle. Ali Binazir a propos\u00e9 un calcul en se basant seulement sur nos anc\u00eatres proches, jusqu&rsquo;\u00e0 trois millions d&rsquo;ann\u00e9es. Quelle probabilit\u00e9 pour que mes anc\u00eatres m\u00e2les eussent fricot\u00e9 avec mes anc\u00eatres femelles, et que le bon spermatozo\u00efde (unique durant toute sa vie) fusionn\u00e2t avec le bon ovocyte (unique durant toute sa vie) ? Il arrive \u00e0 une chance sur 10<sup>2640000<\/sup>. Un chance sur 10 suivi de 2640000 z\u00e9ros. Plus que le nombre de particules dans l&rsquo;univers. Rien que pour \u00e9crire ce chiffre au mur, si je consid\u00e8re une seconde par z\u00e9ro, il me faudra plus de trente jours (et un grand mur).<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Le calcul serait \u00e0 v\u00e9rifier. Mais peu importe en fait. Je retiens seulement ce point. La question n&rsquo;est pas : Qu&rsquo;ai-je fait pour \u00eatre malade ? Pourquoi cette malchance incroyable ? Car, dans ce cas, la question sous-entendue est : pourquoi suis-je n\u00e9 alors que cela est proprement impossible ? Comme cette question est sans r\u00e9ponse, l&rsquo;autre question qui en d\u00e9coule l&rsquo;est \u00e9galement.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Statistiquement, combien de chance d&rsquo;\u00eatre atteint d&rsquo;une SEP ? Disons une sur mille. Combien de chance d&rsquo;\u00eatre atteint d&rsquo;une SE3P, la gold, Primaire Progressive, la toute mienne : \u00e0 peu [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-734","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-analyse"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>SEP \u00e0 l&#039;INSEE - Scl\u00e9rose, mon amour<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Statistiquement, combien de chance d&#039;\u00eatre atteint d&#039;une SEP ? 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